Acknowledgement of Country
We acknowledge the Traditional Owners of Country throughout Australia and recognise their continuing connection to lands, waters and communities. We pay our respects to Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander cultures; and to Elders past and present.
Tuesday 12 November 2024
NAOS Ex-50 Opportunities Company Limited advises that its Annual General Meeting (AGM) will be held at 9.00 am (AEDT) on Tuesday 12 November 2024 at:
The Macquarie Room, State Library of NSW
1 Shakespeare Place
Sydney NSW 2000
Further details relating to the AGM will be advised in the Notice of Meeting to be sent to all shareholders and released to the ASX immediately after dispatch.
In accordance with the ASX Listing Rules, valid nominations for the position of Director are required to be lodged at the registered office of the Company no later than 5.00 pm (AEST) on 17 September 2024.
The NAOS Investor Roadshow will be coming to a city near you this October. Join us as the investment team discusses its investment philosophy and process, and provides an outlook on the market. We will also highlight a selection of stocks that are held within our Listed Investment Companies (LICs).
We invite you to come along with a guest, meet us in person, and understand more about NAOS Asset Management (NAOS) and our LICs. Register today to secure your seat.
Visit naos.com.au/events for more information.
Perth
Tuesday, October 1, 2024
InterContinental
Perth City Centre
815 Hay Street
Perth WA 6000
Adelaide
Thursday, October 10, 2024
The Playford Adelaide
120 North Terrace
Adelaide SA 5000
Brisbane
Monday, October 14, 2024
Sofitel Brisbane Central
249 Turbot Street
Brisbane QLD 4000
Canberra
Thursday, October 17, 2024
East Hotel
69 Canberra Avenue
Kingston ACT 2604
Melbourne
Tuesday, October 22, 2024
Hilton Melbourne Little Queen Street
18 Little Queen Street
Melbourne VIC 3000
Sydney
Thursday, October 24, 2024
Australian Museum
1 William Street
Sydney NSW 2010
NAOS Ex-50 Opportunities Company Limited (ASX: NAC) seeks to provide long-term, concentrated exposure to Australian public emerging companies while providing a sustainable stream of dividends franked to the maximum extent possible, and long-term investment performance above the Benchmark Index, being the S&P/ASX 300 Industrials Accumulation Index (XKIAI).
*Investment Portfolio Performance is post all operating expenses before fees, taxes, interest, initial IPO commissions and all subsequent capital-raising costs. Performance has not been grossed up for franking credits received by shareholders. Since inception (p.a. and Total Return) includes part performance for the month of November 2014. Returns compounded for periods greater than 12 months.
Sarah Williams was appointed as an Independent Director in January 2019, and was elected Independent Chair on 1 December 2022. Sarah is also the Independent Chair of NAOS Emerging Opportunities Company Limited (ASX: NCC) and an Independent Director of NAOS Small Cap Opportunities Company Limited (ASX: NSC).
Sarah has over 25 years’ experience in executive management, leadership, IT and risk management in the financial services and IT industries. Most recently, Sarah was an executive director at Macquarie Group and head of IT for the group’s asset management, investment banking and leasing businesses. During her 18-year tenure at Macquarie Group, she also led the Risk and Regulatory Change team and the Equities IT team, and developed the IT M&A capability. Sarah has also held senior roles with JP Morgan and PricewaterhouseCoopers in London.
Sarah has been a director of charitable organisations, including Cure Cancer Australia Foundation and Make A Mark Australia. Sarah holds an honours degree in engineering physics from Loughborough University.
Sebastian Evans has been a Director of the Company since its inception. Sebastian is also a Director of NAOS Emerging Opportunities Company Limited (ASX: NCC), NAOS Small Cap Opportunities Company Limited (ASX: NSC), and has held the positions of Chief Investment Officer (CIO) and Managing Director of NAOS Asset Management Limited, the Investment Manager, since 2010.
Sebastian is the CIO across all investment strategies. He holds a Master of Applied Finance (MAppFin) majoring in investment management, as well as a Bachelor of Commerce majoring in finance and international business, a Graduate Diploma in Management from the Australian Graduate School of Management (AGSM) and a Diploma in Financial Services.
David Rickards OAM has been an Independent Director of the Company since its inception. David is also an Independent Director of NAOS Emerging Opportunities Company Limited (ASX: NCC) and Independent Chair of NAOS Small Cap Opportunities Company Limited (ASX: NSC). He is also Co-Founder of Social Enterprise Finance Australia Limited (Sefa) and was a director and treasurer of Bush Heritage Australia for nine years.
David has over 25 years of equity market experience, most recently as an executive director at Macquarie Group, where he was head of equities research globally, as well as equity strategy from 1989 until he retired in mid-2013. David was also a consultant for the financial analysis firm Barra International.
David holds a Master of Business Administration majoring in accounting and finance from the University of Queensland. He also has a Bachelor of Engineering (Civil Engineering) and a Bachelor of Engineering (Structural Engineering) from the University of Sydney, and a Bachelor of Science (Pure Mathematics and Geology).
Warwick Evans has been a Director of the Company since its inception. Warwick is also a Director of NAOS Emerging Opportunities Company Limited (ASX: NCC), NAOS Small Cap Opportunities Company Limited (ASX: NSC) and Chair of NAOS Asset Management Limited, the Investment Manager.
Warwick has over 35 years of equity market experience, most notably as Managing Director of Macquarie Equities (globally) from 1991 to 2001, and as an executive director for Macquarie Group. He was founding Chairman and CEO of the Newcastle Stock Exchange (NSX) and was also Chairman of the Australian Stockbrokers Association. Prior to these positions, Warwick was an executive director at County NatWest.
Warwick holds a Bachelor of Commerce majoring in economics from the University of New South Wales.
Dear fellow shareholders,
On behalf of the Board, welcome to the Annual Report of NAOS Ex-50 Opportunities Company Limited for the financial year ended 30 June 2024 (FY24). I would like to thank all shareholders for your continued support and welcome all new shareholders who joined our Company through FY24.
The Board has declared a fully franked final quarterly dividend of 1.50 cents per share, bringing the FY24 total dividend to 6.0 cents per share. This marks the tenth consecutive year in which the Company’s dividend has either been maintained or increased. The Directors are aware of shareholders needs for regular tax effective income, and the payment of a sustainable stream of dividends, franked to the maximum extent possible, remains one of the Company’s key objectives.
The FY24 dividend represents a 12.0% fully franked yield on the 30 June 2024 closing share price of $0.50. The profits reserve of the Company stands at 41.2 cents per share as at 30 June 2024, and enables the Company to pay dividends in periods such as this financial year, where it has been more difficult to generate significant performance. Since inception, the Company has now declared an aggregate 51.15 cents per share of fully franked dividends, or 72.93 cents per share on a grossed-up basis.
NAC Fully Franked Dividend History
FY24 was a difficult year for the NAC Investment Portfolio and the Company. The Company recorded an after-tax loss of $13.31 million (FY23 after-tax profit of $5.82 million). The NAC Investment Portfolio returned -27.98%, underperforming the Benchmark S&P/ASX 300 Industrials Accumulation Index, which returned +17.70%.
FY24 was marked by significant volatility in macro conditions, and higher interest rates started to be more keenly felt by both households and businesses alike. Due to exposure to smaller businesses that are more sensitive to economic changes, the NAC Investment Portfolio experienced a negative impact on its returns. This was also compounded by a continued lack of demand for emerging equities, and the continued appetite for more passive investment strategies focused on the largest and most liquid equities, resulting in a significant dislocation in valuation between small and large listed businesses.
The pre-tax Net Tangible Asset backing (NTA) per share of the Company decreased from $1.03 to $0.54 over the financial year, as shown in the following chart. The impact of gearing in the Company magnifies the impact of the Investment Portfolio performance on the NTA per share.
NAC Pre-Tax NTA Performance
An active capital management strategy remains at the forefront of the Board’s mind to ensure returns to shareholders are maximised over the long term. This strategy was once again active in FY24 via the following measures:
Finally, the Board and Investment Manager continued to increase their ownership of NAC shares during the year, and have increased their holdings significantly since inception. In May 2024, the Investment Manager also committed to reinvest up to 10% of its management fees each month to purchase NAC shares on-market, as a ‘Fee Reinvestment Commitment’. As at the end of the financial year, Directors own a total of 8.7 million NAC shares.
While the current macro environment may continue to prove challenging for smaller companies as we move through FY25, the Board strongly believes that our investee companies will emerge from the current challenging economic conditions in a manner that can deliver the long-term returns that our shareholders expect. We remain committed to providing our shareholders with a unique exposure to emerging companies over a long-term time horizon, via a concentrated portfolio structure and an active management style.
My fellow Directors and I would like to thank all shareholders for their ongoing support especially in these difficult times, and I would also like to thank the staff of the Investment Manager for their efforts and dedication over the course of the financial year.
Kind regards
Sarah Williams
Independent Chair
22 August 2024
Dear fellow shareholders,
For the financial year ending 30 June 2024 (FY24), the NAC Investment Portfolio fell by –27.98%, compared to the Benchmark S&P/ASX 300 Industrials Accumulation Index (XKIAI), which increased by +17.70%. FY24 was an extremely disappointing year from a performance perspective and brings the return of the NAC Investment Portfolio to +6.28% p.a. since inception.
I want to be very clear and acknowledge that this performance is not an acceptable return, and when heading into FY24, we did not think producing such a poor result was even a remote possibility. My fellow Directors and I, many of our staff, and our extended networks and families are some of the largest investors in the Company, so this underperformance hits home in a profound way.
As I will elaborate in this letter, I firmly believe the current share prices of many of our core investments do not truly reflect their long-term value. We remain steadfast in our view that the true value of these investments are significantly higher than where they stand today. Throughout the year, we have spoken with many sources to stress test our investment thesis for each of these investments, and they have overwhelmingly corroborated our viewpoint regarding long-term value. As an investor in emerging companies, we expect that these businesses should be able to substantially grow their earnings per share (EPS) over time and frankly, most of our core investments have not hit our internal growth hurdles this financial year. However, this is not to say these businesses will not be able to grow EPS to substantially higher levels in FY25 or FY26. If this occurs and the macro environment becomes more favourable for such businesses, we believe the re-rate to fair value will be significant.
We believe we are business owners, and our investing mentality should be aligned to this. That is why we will often seek board representation on the companies we invest in, through a NAOS representative. At present, a NAOS representative sits on the board of eight of our investments, which we believe helps to support the respective executive teams and ensure they are taking the right steps to achieve their long-term strategic goals. If they successfully execute, this should lead to maximised shareholder value over the long term.
Has The Market Structure Changed Investing Forever?
Earlier in the year, highly regarded US-based investor, David Einhorn, gave an excellent analysis on what is moving markets today, particularly on the changing structure of the market.
He argues that a significant portion of investment capital in the market either cannot assess valuations due to a lack of training, does not care about valuations (i.e. passive index funds or ETFs), or intentionally ignores valuations in favour of price-focused strategies (i.e. technical or quantitative strategies).
Einhorn illustrates this with an example of two companies both having a fair value of $1 billion. If one is undervalued by the market and has a market capitalisation of $500 million, and the other is overvalued with a market capitalisation of $2 billion, a market capitalisation-weighted index fund investing $5 will allocate $4 to the overvalued company and only $1 to the undervalued one. This leads to the overvalued stock receiving disproportionately more investment, causing it to outperform, while the undervalued stock underperforms.
This issue is compounded when new investments into index funds come from redemptions from active managers who had previously allocated more to undervalued stocks. When money is withdrawn from these active managers and reinvested in index funds, the undervalued stock faces net selling, and the overvalued stock sees net buying, driving their valuations further apart.
The rise of passive investing over recent years has seen several trillion dollars redeployed in this fashion, which in Einhorn’s words “has fundamentally broken the market”.
Looking at the ASX, Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) would be the prime example of this in the domestic market. As at 30 June, CBA shares were trading at $127.38, just below their record high. The share price has increased by +26.2% over the last 12 months and, inclusive of dividends, has delivered a total shareholder return of +31.7%, markedly higher than the S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index FY24 return of +11.4%. Where the increase in CBA shares ties in with Einhorn’s comments is in relation to its EPS growth. FY24 EPS is expected to decrease by –1%, then looking ahead to FY25, consensus estimates are forecasting earnings growth to be negative again, circa –3%. As such, CBA currently trades on a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 21.9x and, given the decrease in EPS for FY25, this will increase to 22.7x.
Based on these metrics, I would argue the investment case for CBA goes against many of the fundamentals of investment analysis, such as looking for businesses that can provide sustainable EPS growth, as well as seeking businesses that do not require an ever-increasing amount of capital to achieve this, which leads to a reduced return on equity (ROE).
Commonwealth Bank – Share Price vs. EPS
Commonwealth Bank – Key Metrics
So, why is the price of CBA shares at a record high? When considering the current macro environment, one that is more conducive to low credit growth and increasing bad debts, this appears illogical. However, let us not forget CBA is the second-largest business on the ASX by market capitalisation and is also a highly liquid one. It has provided investors with a relatively stable stream of dividends and in theory, should continue to do so. If you have exposure to an exchange traded fund (ETF) that seeks to provide exposure to the ASX 100, Australian financials or even large listed businesses in Asia, chances are that CBA will form part of that exposure. As these ETFs continue to increase in size and popularity, many of them will continue to acquire CBA shares regardless of price and/or value.
Interestingly, when looking at global banking peers, CBA would rank the fifth most expensive in terms of valuation. This is out of 120 banks that have a market capitalisation greater than $85 billion (for context, ANZ Group has a market capitalisation of $86 billion).
Looking to the S&P 500 in the US, a notable trend that has been occurring for some time now is that the market breadth (or the number of stocks moving up versus those declining) has been decreasing at an ever-accelerating rate. Despite this, the S&P 500 has already set 30 all-time highs so far in CY24. The S&P 500 recorded a gain of +22.7% in FY24, but as we can see from the chart overleaf, the major contributors to this performance were five of the so-called “Magnificent 7”, namely NVIDIA, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet and Meta Platforms. Due to their already large market capitalisations, given their substantial returns, we estimate they have contributed >95% of the S&P 500’s FY24 return.
S&P 500 vs. Magnificent 7 - FY24 Share Price Return
While this may seem like a bubble, we believe it is in fact hard to justify current prices as such when we look at the current earnings and EPS% growth of each of these businesses. As an example, NVIDIA has a P/E of 50x but its forecasted EPS is expected to grow ~120% for CY24, which will see the P/E halve. For Meta, the current P/E is 25x, with forecasted CY24 EPS growth of +30%. When you then overlay the average market capitalisations of the Magnificent 7 of $2.2 trillion with their average cash balances of US$32.3 billion, you can argue the current valuations are justifiable. The trends these businesses are exposed to are high growth in nature, generally scalable (globally) and have a market dominance that gives them a high level of pricing power. All these characteristics are very hard to find in one business, let alone seven.
EPS Growth Expectations – Magnificent 7 vs. S&P 500
So, what does all of this mean for investing in emerging companies, especially those outside the resources and technology sectors? The answer is not simple. In very basic terms, investment in such businesses needs to be attractive relative to all other investment options. In a world where we have mega-tech businesses, significant expansion of private credit (non-bank lending) and more speculative investments such as venture capital, there are various options available to all investors.
For investors in emerging companies, returns are driven by three key outputs:
If an emerging company is unable to grow its earnings at a reasonable rate, then the valuation multiple applied by investors to these earnings will reduce. For example, if earnings remain flat, and the P/E multiple falls from 12x to 9x, this will lead to a 25% reduction in share price. Investors will then be reliant on dividend yields for any return.
In the current environment, many investors focus on short-term news flow and extrapolate these findings. For many businesses with cyclical attributes this had led to significant downside share price movements. I would argue this becomes self-fulfilling, as falling share prices result in smaller market capitalisations and often reduced liquidity as investors move up the liquidity curve. This in turn makes it less attractive for the company to remain a listed business, as the valuation premium reduces (or evaporates), leading to an inability to raise funds and further reduced liquidity for shareholders.
At NAOS, we continue to believe that investing in emerging companies that have a clear moat, are run by proven and aligned management teams, coupled with a long runway of growth in favourable industries, will ultimately yield strong long-term results. Economic cycles will impact earnings in the short term, but in our view, it is important to remember many large and successful businesses, such as Reece Ltd (ASX: REH), have experienced periods where their share price flatlines or even falls (especially in their early years). Acquiring shares in times such as these can yield tremendous results and we would argue such opportunities exist today.
Events of Significance for Investee Companies in FY24
Given the FY24 Investment Portfolio performance, it is easy to assume there were no significant events that may lead to strong shareholders returns in the upcoming year. However, in our view, there were a number of notable events that could shape the respective businesses for many years to come. They have not yet led to a change in the share prices of these investments, mainly due to their minimal impact on short-term profitability, but in our view significant potential upsides exist.
COG Financial Services (ASX: COG)
Acquisition of 19.99% Stake in Centrepoint Alliance (ASX: CAF)
COG is Australia’s largest finance broking and aggregation (FB&A) business, with >$9 billion of loans financed through the COG network. It also has two complementary divisions, being Novated Leasing, and Asset Management (the majority of which is made up of commercial lending aggregation business Equity One). Importantly, all of these divisions do not require COG capital to write loans, instead employing a “clip the ticket” type model, which has a high ROE and maximises cash flow for COG shareholders without taking outsized risks. We believe the divisions will continue to grow through a combination of taking market share and cross selling other products, such as insurance. However, the growth potential in these divisions will ultimately be limited by the size of each market and the number of acquisition opportunities available, coupled with the price vendors are seeking.
Via its recent acquisition of a 19.99% stake in Centrepoint Alliance (ASX: CAF), COG has dipped its toe into the financial advice market, which according to market estimates is worth $5.4 billion annually. CAF supports over 500 licensed advisers and more than 190 self-licensed practices, offering a range of services to support financial advisers, including technology, lending services, licensing, and back-office support.
In many ways the COG and CAF models are very similar, despite operating in different industries. Both companies aim to provide a supportive structure to allow their members to grow their businesses sustainably and have all the necessary tools to meet their business needs. However, there is a sizeable difference in their addressable markets: the transactional volumes that are processed within the asset finance market are estimated to be $40 billion annually, while the financial advice market is $5.4 billion annually. Two key factors significantly differentiate these markets. Firstly, the fees charged on these volumes are significantly higher in the financial advice sector compared to finance aggregation. Secondly, the financial advice market is much more fragmented following the Financial Services Royal Commission, whereas the asset finance market is dominated by the Big Four banks and players such as COG and Australian Finance Group (ASX: AFG).
Applying a longer term lens, our view is that COG has taken an exposure to the financial advice industry based on notable positive characteristics including:
It will be interesting to see how COG moves forward with its shareholding in CAF. Many market participants will be acutely aware of the last time COG acquired a substantial shareholding in a listed entity (Earlypay, ASX: EPY); it did not go according to plan, and COG still holds this investment albeit at a much lower value than its acquisition cost. For COG shareholders, it will be imperative that COG acts decisively in looking to scale its ambitions in financial advice. If it does seek to scale this division, we believe the industry structure and similar business variables make it a strategy worth pursuing.
MaxiPARTS (ASX: MXI)
Acquisition of Independant Parts
The management team of MXI continue with its strategy of providing the business with geographic reach, product diversification and financial scale, with the acquisition of Western Australia-based Independant Parts (IP). This acquisition solidifies MXI’s ambition to be one of the largest players in the aftermarket truck parts space with a nationwide presence, and in revenue terms puts it at a similar size to that of Supply Network Limited (ASX: SNL) and the commercial division of Bapcor (ASX: BAP).
MXI paid ~$30 million for IP, which generated ~$45 million of revenue and $3.4 million of EBITDA (pre-AASB 16) in FY23. IP has four standalone branches but many more “embedded” sites. These embedded sites are essentially an IP store located within a client’s main operation. For example, a mining business that has the scale and requirement for an onsite parts provider to minimise any downtime to their mining operations. This set-up ensures a continuous supply of necessary parts, critical for mining operations. It also allows the parts provider to get a better understanding of clients’ needs on an ongoing basis, so they can ensure they always have the right parts in stock.
From our perspective, there were several positive and negative attributes of this deal.
Advantages:
Disadvantages:
MXI remains one of our highest conviction investments held in the NAC Investment Portfolio, with Peter Loimaranta and his team doing an exceptional job in a short period of time. Despite a weaker than expected 2H FY24 from a trading perspective and some missteps in guiding the market regarding cost increases associated with new leases, MXI operates in an industry with strong long-term fundamentals and has significant opportunity to increase its margins over time.
Urbanise.com (ASX: UBN)
Entry into Expanded Strata Market Opportunity
In Q4 FY24, UBN provided an in-depth update on its Horizon 3 strategy, aimed at driving long-term, sustainable growth by leveraging the footprint of strata lots and facilities users on the UBN platform. UBN has been working on integrating and automating solutions to enhance the connection between strata management and their respective service providers. Currently, UBN connects with thousands of individual strata managers, who often manage hundreds of individual strata lots. These lots require services from various external service providers such as insurance providers, financial institutions, and numerous maintenance providers (plumbers, builders etc.).
This integration provides a significant opportunity for UBN with a relatively low amount of risk because:
This new service will leverage the current UBN infrastructure without requiring significant one-off capital expenditure or a significant ongoing increase in the fixed cost base. We have long stated that UBN has industry-leading software and a cost base to support it, but has lacked a revenue base that reflects the significant investment in software development over many years.
UBN estimates the size of this market opportunity to be between $30 million to $45 million, based on the assumption that approximately $20 billion of strata-related transactions occur annually, with a fee of 0.14% to 0.30% applied to these transactions. This fee is comparable to what other service providers charge for similar solutions, although we would argue that UBN’s technological solution is superior.
Although UBN is yet to secure a deal with a major service provider, it has stated it has generated leads and targeted opportunities with strata managers. Under the assumption that UBN can capture a 10% market share relatively quickly, with a 0.20% transaction fee, this would imply an additional $4 million of annualised recurring revenue (ARR). UBN has previously stated that it expects to be FCF breakeven within FY25 (excluding Horizon 3), so if the above was to occur, we would expect UBN to move well into profitability. This would position UBN to grow its sales base in a more sustainable manner. If the business can execute successfully on this opportunity, in our view the valuation applied to UBN could potentially be 4–7x ARR.
FY25 Outlook
There is no doubt that being an index-unaware active manager with a focus on emerging companies has never been more challenging. Despite this, we fundamentally believe and remain steadfast in the belief that investing in emerging companies, with a long-term and concentrated portfolio structure, can lead to substantial positive returns.
I would argue the current share prices applied to most, if not all, of our core listed investments factor in no earnings growth or even negative growth over the long term. However, as history has shown us, extrapolating a current earnings profile can prove to be a misguided approach, when earnings are either depressed (and also valued on low earnings multiples), or at inflated levels (and also trading on lofty earnings multiples). This can explain why large amounts of variability can affect a company’s share price over time.
In our view, three key factors will dictate the returns of the NAC Investment Portfolio over the next few years.
Firstly, a number of our largest investments are highly exposed to long-term structural tailwinds. In our opinion, these tailwinds have not disappeared over the past 12 months and in some cases, have only become stronger. However, for well-documented reasons the activity levels generally associated with these industries has recently stalled. We believe that as these return to normal, the emerging businesses that have a large exposure to these industries (such as residential construction) will benefit significantly.
Having said this, a number of our larger investments, such as MXI and UBN, have compelling internal initiatives underway that could grow their earnings base significantly with little correlation to the underlying macro environment. For UBN, successfully executing on new market opportunities and partnering with tier-1 counterparties could be a pivotal moment for the business, greatly expanding its total addressable market. With regards to MXI, the focus is on increasing profit margins, and there are numerous strategies the business can employ to achieve this. Although a significant margin increase will not happen in a single year, we estimate that even a 0.5% increase in EBITDA margins could drive a >15% increase in NPBT. As management continues to roll out further Japanese aftermarket parts, grow the Forch consumables business and achieve organic revenue growth, we believe these strategies will have meaningful impacts on the overall margin outcome.
Secondly, businesses will need to continually innovate and refine their strategies to ensure they meet their customers’ changing needs, and we are confident our investments are nimble enough to execute successfully in this regard. We also do not believe that many of our businesses reacted as effectively as they could have in 2H FY24 from an efficiency perspective. In FY25, they will need to ensure they are being as efficient as possible to maximise the value of their asset base, particularly if cost rationalisation activities have occurred in response to the more challenging economic climate of late.
Thirdly, as listed companies they also have the clear advantage over their private counterparts to use their listed scrip to acquire businesses that bring with them a compelling strategic offering. Potential opportunities for strategic M&A activity are also likely to increase given the depressed valuations across many emerging companies.
There is no doubt that the above factors come with a significant amount of execution risk. However, due to the recent investor exodus from emerging companies, in our view the valuation multiples currently applied to many emerging companies have not been as depressed for 10 or even 20-years. Consequently, when these businesses grow their earnings base at a rate even slightly above market expectations (e.g. >5%), we would argue the re-rating of these businesses has the potential to be significant. As we have seen over the past 12–24 months, when a listed business remains undervalued over a significant timeframe, there is a real possibility the company will be acquired and delisted. In 2024 alone, within the building materials sector, three of the largest listed businesses saw takeovers, namely Boral (ASX: BLD), Adelaide Brighton (ASX: ABC) and CSR Limited (ASX: CSR), all of which had been listed since the 1960s.
We also believe that in most cases the people who run our core investments are highly aligned, highly motivated and highly capable. This also gives us great confidence the strategies are being implemented with strong fundamentals behind them and a high level of energy to achieve the outcomes in a desirable timeframe. While some may argue that executives/management teams have a poor ability to judge what fair value is for their respective businesses, we would argue that these same people have a deep understanding of the long-term strategic value of their respective businesses.
In conclusion, we are striving for improved returns following the recent unsatisfactory performance. We take full responsibility for these results and remain committed to restoring value and delivering long-term performance.
My fellow NAC Directors and I continue to increase our shareholdings, and NAOS has also recently committed to reinvest up to 10% of its annual management fee into acquiring NAC shares on-market.
The entire team at NAOS is acutely aware of the trust you have placed in us to manage your capital and we greatly appreciate your ongoing support.
If shareholders have any questions, please do not hesitate to contact me directly.
Kind regards,
Sebastian Evans
Managing Director and Chief Investment Officer
NAOS Asset Management Limited
NAOS Asset Management is a specialist fund manager providing concentrated exposure to quality public and private emerging companies.
NAOS takes a concentrated and long-term approach to investing and aims to work collaboratively with businesses rather than be a passive shareholder. NAOS seeks to invest in businesses with established moats and significant exposure to structural industry tailwinds, which are run by proven, aligned and transparent management teams who have a clear understanding of how to compound capital.
We look to build large investments in businesses and from time to time will seek board representation or look to appoint highly regarded independent directors. Importantly, NAOS, its Directors and staff are significant shareholders in the NAOS LICs, ensuring strong alignment with all shareholders.
NAOS is B Corp certified. As a B Corp in the financial services industry, we are counted among businesses that are leading a global movement for an inclusive, equitable, and a regenerative economy.
NAOS launched its first LIC in 2013 with 400 shareholders. Today, NAOS manages three LIC vehicles and one private investment fund, for approximately 6,500 shareholders.
Rather than follow the crowd, we prefer to pave the way with innovation and provide a better outcome for our stakeholders. We have a disciplined investment process and do not get caught up in the hype and noise of the market.
At NAOS, we focus on providing concentrated exposure to quality public and private emerging companies – and we strive to be the best at this.
At NAOS, we are honest and transparent. We continue to exist due to the earned trust of our shareholders.
Each NAOS employee has been specifically chosen for their unique ability, proven experience and willingness to learn. At NAOS, we have created an inclusive work culture and one that supports all our employees.
As NAOS Directors and employees, we have a significant interest in NAOS’ investment strategies. This means we are invested alongside our shareholders, creating a strong alignment of interests.
We believe in investing in businesses where the earnings today are not a fair reflection of what the same business may earn over the longer term. Prior to investing in a business, we ask ourselves: Do we want to own this business forever?
We are responsible for investing our fellow shareholders’ funds and we do not take this responsibility lightly. At NAOS, we seek to always act responsibly and diligently in all matters – from our investment choices through to our shareholder communications.
NAOS employees strive to make NAOS a success by taking ownership of their tasks and responsibilities. In addition, NAOS Asset Management Limited is majority owned by employees and Directors.
As a company, we have committed to pledge 1% of our revenue, time and knowledge to movements and missions that matter. We want to make a difference, and aim to contribute to economic, social and environmental improvement.
We believe in investing in businesses where the earnings today are not a fair reflection of what the same business will earn over the longer term. Ultimately, this earnings growth can be driven by many factors, including revenue growth, margin growth, cost cutting, acquisitions and even share buybacks. The result is earnings growth over a long-term investment horizon, even if the business was perceived to be a value-type business at the time of the initial investment.
Excessive diversification, or holding too many investments, may be detrimental to overall portfolio performance. We believe it is better to approach each investment decision with conviction. In our view, to balance risk and performance most favourably, the ideal number of quality companies in each portfolio would generally be zero to 20.
As investors who are willing to maintain perspective by taking a patient and disciplined approach, we believe we will be rewarded over the long term. If our investment thesis holds true, we persist. Many of our core investments have been held for three or more years, where management execution has been consistent and the value proposition is still apparent.
We believe in backing people who are proven and aligned with their shareholders. One of the most fundamental factors consistent across the majority of company success stories in our investment universe is a high-quality, proven management team with “skin in the game”. NAOS Directors and employees are significant holders of shares on issue across our strategies, so the interests of our shareholders are well aligned with our own.
This means we are not forced holders of stocks with large index weightings that we are not convinced are attractive investment propositions. We actively manage each investment to ensure the best outcome for our shareholders, and only invest in companies we believe will provide excellent, sustainable, long-term returns.
As a specialist fund manager since 2004, over the years NAOS has developed a strong “circle of competence” (or mental models) in specific industries. We openly acknowledge we avoid businesses that are either too complex to understand, or heavily influenced by one or two variables, such as interest rates or commodity prices. Instead, we concentrate on businesses that fall within our circle of competence, aiming to minimise the risk of permanent capital loss. Unlike others, we are comfortable setting aside investments that we consider “too hard”, while we compound our knowledge in specific industries where we believe we have a competitive edge.
We believe in taking advantage of inefficient markets. The perceived risk associated with low liquidity (or difficulty buying or selling large positions) combined with investor short-termism, presents an opportunity to act based purely on the long-term value proposition, where the majority may lose patience and move on. Illiquidity is often caused by aligned founders or management having significant holdings in a company. The NAOS LICs benefit from a closed-end structure, which means they do not suffer “redemption risk” and we can focus on finding quality, undervalued businesses regardless of their liquidity profile.
As an investment manager, NAOS recognises and accepts its duty to act responsibly and in the best interests of shareholders. We believe a high standard of business conduct and a responsible approach to environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors is associated with a sustainable business model over the longer term. This benefits not only shareholders, but also the broader economy. NAOS is a signatory to the United Nations-supported Principles for Responsible Investment (UNPRI) and is guided by these principles in incorporating ESG into its investment practices. NAOS is also B Corp certified.
At NAOS, we seek to work collaboratively with businesses and their respective management teams. We are often the largest shareholder in the businesses we invest in, and from time to time we will seek board representation, either via an independent or a non-independent representative. This approach allows us to supportively engage with the boards and/or management teams of our portfolio holdings, and maximise the potential for our invested capital to compound at a satisfactory rate over the long term.
Examples of constructive engagement where the NAOS investment team looks to add value include:
The NAOS investment team undertakes fundamental analysis on potential and current investments.
Some examples of key focus areas include:
At NAOS, as an investment manager, we recognise and accept our duty to act responsibly and in the best interests of all stakeholders. We believe that a high standard of business conduct and a responsible approach to environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors are associated with a sustainable business model over the longer term, which also benefits the broader economy.
We recognise the material impacts that ESG factors can have on investment returns and risk, and also the wider implications for achieving a positive social return.
ASX: MXI
We recently spoke with Narelle Banfield, General Manager of People, Safety and Culture at MaxiPARTS to understand how the company is dealing with and evolving its approach towards issues related to gender diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI). Below are some of the key highlights from our conversation.
How does MaxiPARTS prioritise gender DEI within your workforce?
At MaxiPARTS we embrace DEI, recognising the array of differing perspectives and balance this brings to the success of our business. Our diversity enhances our decision-making processes and fosters open, transparent and inclusive communication channels from the warehouse to the boardroom.
In FY22, we established and published three-year targets to increase our company-wide female representation from 15% to 20%, and for our Sales & Distribution division to increase from 7% to 15% by FY25. We are pleased to say we have successfully achieved our company-wide target of 20%, while our Sales & Distribution division currently stands at 14%.
Females make up 40% of our directors and the board is currently led by its first female chair.
What strategies does MaxiPARTS employ to attract and retain diverse talent?
Operating within a traditionally male-dominated industry, we take a proactive approach to our recruitment and hiring practices. This entails adapting our advertising platforms and vacancy adverts to better reflect our job offers, as well as promoting our inclusive culture that values and respects diversity. We also encourage shortlists with a diverse nature of candidates.
As part of our employment offer, we listen to the needs of our people and can provide flexible working arrangements in roles that allow this. This enables our workforce, especially working mothers or family carers, to strike a harmonious balance between their family and professional responsibilities. Our paid parental leave and additional flexibility includes flexible start/finish hours, hybrid work from home/office work patterns, keeping-in-touch days, part time contracts and staged retirements.
How does MaxiPARTS foster a culture of inclusivity and support for DEI in the workplace?
Through our DEI journey, we have established resource groups where women can share experiences and support each other. Two key areas have been our 2023 MaxiPARTS Women’s Forum and our National Association of Women in Operations (NAWO) Annual Mentorship program for our female leaders. For a number of years now we have had female employees participating in the NAWO Mentorship program, which provides external guidance on building a successful career path. We also use our internal succession and development process to aid in individual skill and experience identification and development.
In pursuit of fostering a comprehensive understanding of DEI, our MaxiPARTS managers undertake the SBS Inclusion and Diversity program. This program is designed with a primary emphasis on eliminating unconscious bias, which can affect hiring practices, team dynamics and overall company culture.
How do you measure progress and hold yourselves accountable for achieving these objectives?
We employ a variety of methods to evaluate our progress and ensure accountability. These include regular data analysis and assessment of our established DEI key performance indicators (KPIs). These encompass diversity metrics, feedback received from our engagement and exit surveys, together with direct conversations with our people, monitoring our retention rates and talent acquisition efforts, and monthly reviews of our strategic plan initiatives to ensure alignment with our broader vision.
Looking ahead, what are the goals that MaxiPARTS has set to further advance gender DEI within the organisation and the broader industry?
We are currently focusing on further strategies to foster continuous growth and embrace diversity across the business. Following recent acquisitions, we will conduct training to ensure seamless integration of MaxiPARTS’ established frameworks into our traditional business model. While we have conducted numerous training programs for our staff in the past, this remains an ongoing endeavour, especially concerning recruitment strategies. Additionally, we are steadfast in our commitment to narrowing the gender pay gap, a goal we pursue through regular recruitment efforts and annual salary reviews.
As we near the end of the current timeframe for our diversity targets, the board and executive team will evaluate and define a new set of KPIs to ensure we continue to maintain our momentum and further bolster our overall diversity profile.
Sebastian is a Director of NAOS Emerging Opportunities Company Limited (ASX: NCC), NAOS Small Cap Opportunities Company Limited (ASX: NSC), NAOS Ex-50 Opportunities Company Limited (ASX: NAC), and has held the positions of Chief Investment Officer (CIO) and Managing Director of NAOS Asset Management Limited, the Investment Manager, since 2010. Sebastian is the CIO across all investment strategies.
Sebastian holds a Master of Applied Finance (MAppFin) majoring in investment management, as well as a Bachelor of Commerce majoring in finance and international business, a Graduate Diploma in Management from the Australian Graduate School of Management (AGSM) and a Diploma in Financial Services.
Robert joined NAOS in September 2009 as an investment analyst. Robert has been a portfolio manager since November 2014 and is currently Portfolio Manager across all NAOS LICs: NAOS Emerging Opportunities Company Limited (ASX: NCC), NAOS Small Cap Opportunities Company Limited (ASX: NSC), and NAOS Ex-50 Opportunities Company Limited (ASX: NAC), and the NAOS Private Opportunities Fund. Robert is also a non-executive director of Ordermentum Pty Ltd.
Robert holds a Bachelor of Business from the University of Technology, Sydney, and a Master of Applied Finance (MAppFin) from the Financial Services Institute of Australasia/Kaplan.
Brendan joined NAOS in July 2021 as a portfolio manager. Brendan is also a non-executive director of Big River Industries Limited (ASX: BRI), BSA Limited (ASX: BSA), Saunders International Limited (ASX: SND), Wingara AG Limited (ASX: WNR), BTC health Limited (ASX: BTC), MaxiPARTS (ASX: MXI) and MitchCap Pty Ltd.
Brendan has over 20 years’ finance, accounting and M&A experience. Most recently, Brendan had a 15-year career with ASX-listed marketing services business Enero Group Limited, initially in finance roles and ultimately as CFO and Company Secretary for a nine-year period. Prior to that, Brendan spent four years at KPMG.
Brendan is a chartered accountant and holds a Bachelor of Business Administration and a Bachelor of Commerce from Macquarie University.
Jared joined NAOS in April 2021 as Senior Investment Analyst. Jared has over 17 years’ financial services experience. Most recently, Jared was an investment analyst at Contact Asset Management and prior to that he spent nine years at Colonial First State.
Jared holds a Bachelor of Commerce majoring in accounting and finance from the University of Notre Dame, Sydney, and is a CFA Charterholder.
Richard joined NAOS in October 2015 as Chief Financial and Operating Officer. Richard has over 17 years’ financial services experience in the UK and Australia, beginning his career in London with Deloitte & Touche before relocating to Sydney in 2013.
Richard holds a Bachelor of Arts (Hons) in Business Management from the University of Sheffield, is a qualified chartered accountant and is a member of the Governance Institute of Australia.
Rajiv is Head of Legal and Compliance at NAOS and holds a Bachelor of Laws (First Class Honours), a Bachelor of Business (accounting major) and a Graduate Diploma in Legal Practice from the University of Technology, Sydney.
Rajiv has over 14 years’ experience, having most recently held senior legal roles at Custom Fleet, part of Element Fleet Management (TSX: EFN), and also at Magellan Financial Group (ASX: MFG). He has also previously worked at law firms Johnson Winter & Slattery and Clayton Utz.
Rajiv is a member of the Law Society of New South Wales and is admitted to the Supreme Court of New South Wales and the High Court of Australia.
Julie joined NAOS in November 2012 as Compliance Officer, and in January 2021, she commenced the role of ESG Officer.
Prior to joining NAOS, Julie worked within compliance and performance teams at BZW Investment Management, Commonwealth Bank, Colonial First State, and QBE.
Julie holds a Bachelor of Business majoring in finance and economics from the University of Technology, Sydney, and she also holds a Graduate Diploma in Applied Finance and Investment from the Securities Institute of Australia.
Angela joined NAOS in May 2020 in the capacity of Marketing and Communications Manager.
Prior to joining NAOS, Angela held marketing roles for companies in both Australia and the UK, including SAI Global, American Express, Citibank, and Arete Marketing.
Angela holds a Bachelor of Communications majoring in advertising and marketing from the University of Canberra.
NAOS Asset Management is committed to keeping all shareholders up to date. We endeavour to produce timely updates and relevant communications throughout the financial year. We also welcome shareholder feedback, so please email any feedback or suggestions to enquiries@naos.com.au.
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Subscribe NowTo be caretakers of the next generation, we must actively support positive change. Supporting our commitment to ESG issues, NAOS Asset Management (the management company) donates 1% of recurring revenue to organisations that support the community and the environment.
NAOS is proud to be supporting:
The Board of NAOS Ex-50 Opportunities Company Limited is committed to achieving and demonstrating the highest standards of corporate governance. As such, the Company has adopted what it believes to be appropriate corporate governance policies and practices having regard to its size and the nature of its activities.
The Board has adopted the ASX Corporate Governance Principles and Recommendations, which are complemented by the Company’s core principles of honesty and integrity. Visit naos.com.au/corporate-governance to view the Company’s corporate governance policies and practices.